AMC 10 Step by Step
2005 AMC 10AProblem 18P16-20~6 minPrint

Team AA and team BB play a series. The first team to win three games wins the series. Each team is equally likely to win each game, there are no ties, and the outcomes of the individual games are independent. If team BB wins the second game and team AA wins the series, what is the probability that team BB wins the first game?

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Problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA), American Mathematics Competitions. Reproduced for non-commercial educational use. Solution and commentary are original to this site.