AMC 10 Step by Step

2017 AMC 10A Problem 15

P11-15~3 minPrint

Chloé chooses a real number uniformly at random from the interval [0,2017][0, 2017] . Independently, Laurent chooses a real number uniformly at random from the interval [0,4034][0, 4034] . What is the probability that Laurent's number is greater than Chloé's number?

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Key insight

Half the time Laurent picks above 2017 and wins for sure. The other half, both pick from the same range, so he wins half of those.

Solution

Only the sizes of the ranges matter, so shrink the numbers: Chloé picks from 00 to 11 and Laurent picks from 00 to 22. Laurent's range is still twice as long, so the probability is the same.

Split on where Laurent's number lands.

1. Laurent lands between 11 and 22. This happens half the time, because it is half of his range. Chloé's number is at most 11, so Laurent wins every time.
2. Laurent lands between 00 and 11. This happens the other half of the time. Now both numbers come from the same range, 00 to 11, picked the same way. Neither player has an advantage, so each wins half the time. (An exact tie has probability 00.)
3. Combine the two halves:
12×1+12×12=12+14=34.\tfrac12 \times 1 + \tfrac12 \times \tfrac12 = \tfrac12 + \tfrac14 = \tfrac34.

The answer is (C) 34\boxed{\textbf{(C)}\ \frac{3}{4}}.

Why this works

When two numbers are picked at random from ranges, split the problem into pieces where the answer is easy: one piece where the result is certain and one piece where the two players are in the same position, so each wins half. This "split, then use fairness" idea works well for many probability questions.

Alternative approach

Draw a picture. Put Chloé's number across (00 to 11) and Laurent's number up (00 to 22). Every pair of choices is a point in a 11 by 22 rectangle, with area 22, and each point is equally likely. Laurent loses when his number is at most Chloé's, which is the triangle under the line from (0,0)(0, 0) to (1,1)(1, 1). That triangle has area 12×1×1=12\tfrac12 \times 1 \times 1 = \tfrac12. So Laurent wins with probability
2−122=1.52=34.\frac{2 - \tfrac12}{2} = \frac{1.5}{2} = \frac34.

Concise solution

A shorter write-up, the way contest solutions are usually written. It may take a different route from the solution above.

Scale the intervals to [0,1][0, 1] for Chloé and [0,2][0, 2] for Laurent; the probability is unchanged.

Split on Laurent's number LL.

With probability 12\tfrac12, L∈[1,2]L \in [1, 2]. Then LL is at least 11, which is at least Chloé's number, so Laurent wins for sure.

With probability 12\tfrac12, L∈[0,1]L \in [0, 1]. Now both numbers are independent and uniform on the same interval, so by symmetry each is larger with probability 12\tfrac12 (a tie has probability 00).

Combining:
12⋅1+12⋅12=34.\frac12 \cdot 1 + \frac12 \cdot \frac12 = \frac34.

The answer is (C) 34\boxed{\textbf{(C)}\ \frac{3}{4}}.

Review in the AoPS books

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Problem © Mathematical Association of America (MAA), American Mathematics Competitions. Reproduced for non-commercial educational use. Solution and commentary are original to this site.