The faces of each of standard dice are labeled with the integers from to . Let be the probability that when all dice are rolled, the sum of the numbers on the top faces is . What other sum occurs with the same probability ?
- A)
- B)
- C)
- D)
- E)
Answer
D
Key insight
Turn every die upside down: a face k becomes 7 minus k. A roll with sum 10 becomes a roll with sum 49 minus 10, which is 39.
Solution
On a standard die, opposite faces add to : and , and , and . Use that to pair up rolls.
1. Flip each die. Take any roll of the dice and replace each face by the opposite face .
2. What happens to the sum? Each die's value changes from to . Over dice the new sum is
For example, the roll has sum . Flipped, it becomes , with sum .
3. Why this gives equal chances. Every roll with sum flips to a different roll with sum , and flipping again brings it back. So the two sums have exactly the same number of rolls, and they are equally likely.
The other sum is .
The answer is .
Why this works
The smallest sum is and the largest is , and the chances are symmetric around the middle. The sum is above the smallest, so its partner is below the largest: . When a question asks for "another value with the same probability," look for a way to flip outcomes into each other.
Alternative approach
A sum of is more than the lowest sum (all ones), so it comes from sharing extra points among the dice. A sum of is less than the highest sum (all sixes), so it comes from sharing missing points among the dice. Those are the same counting problem, so the chances match.
The trap
Picking the largest possible sum 42 (choice E), or mirroring around the wrong middle point.
Concise solution
Pair every outcome with its "flipped" outcome, in which each die showing is replaced by a die showing . This is a one-to-one correspondence on the equally likely outcomes, and it turns a total of into a total of
So the number of outcomes with sum equals the number with sum , and the two sums are equally likely.
For the partner sum is .
The answer is .
Review in the AoPS books
- Introduction to Counting & Probability, Chapter 7: Introduction to Probability
- Introduction to Algebra, Chapter 22: Special Manipulations (§22.3)
- Intermediate Counting & Probability, Chapter 4: Constructive Counting and 1-1 Correspondences (§4.4, §4.5, §4.6)
- Introduction to Counting & Probability, Chapter 8: Basic Probability Techniques
Techniques
Map the objects to something easier to count · Exploit symmetry to reduce work or pair up objects