A pair of six-sided dice are labeled so that one die has only even numbers (two each of , , and ), and the other die has only odd numbers (two each of , , and ). The pair of dice is rolled. What is the probability that the sum of the numbers on the tops of the two dice is ?
- A)
- B)
- C)
- D)
- E)
Answer
D
Key insight
Each die really has three equally likely values. Whatever the even die shows, exactly one of the three odd values makes the total 7.
Solution
- Each value appears on two of the six faces, so the even die shows , or , each one-third of the time. The odd die shows , or , each one-third of the time. In effect, each die has only three equally likely values.
- So there are equally likely pairs of values. Here they are, with the sum in each box:
- Three of the nine boxes have sum : , and .
- The probability is .
The answer is .
Why this works
Two faces with the same number act like one face that comes up twice as often. As long as every value is equally likely, you can work with values instead of faces, and the table shrinks from boxes to . The table also shows a shortcut: each row has exactly one , so whatever the even die shows, the chance of making is .
Alternative approach
Count all face pairs. The value pair and can happen in ways, because there are two faces showing and two showing . The same goes for and , and for and . That makes good face pairs, and .
The trap
Using 36 face pairs on the bottom but counting only 3 good pairs on the top. Each good pair of values appears on 2 x 2 = 4 face pairs.
Concise solution
Because each value appears on two of the six faces, the even die shows , or each with probability , and the odd die shows , or each with probability . So the value pairs are equally likely.
List the pairs whose sum is :
Every even value has exactly one odd partner, so there are favorable pairs out of .
The probability is .
The answer is .
Review in the AoPS books
- Introduction to Counting & Probability, Chapter 7: Introduction to Probability
- Prealgebra, Chapter 15: Problem-Solving Strategies (§15.2)
- Introduction to Counting & Probability, Chapter 8: Basic Probability Techniques
Techniques
Organized listing / direct enumeration