Two real numbers are selected independently at random from the interval . What is the probability that the product of those numbers is greater than zero?
- A)
- B)
- C)
- D)
- E)
Answer
D
Key insight
A positive product needs both numbers negative or both positive; the chances of negative and positive are 2/3 and 1/3, so add (2/3)^2 and (1/3)^2.
Solution
The interval has length . A uniformly chosen number is negative with probability and positive with probability (being exactly has probability ).
The product is positive exactly when the two numbers have the same sign. Since the choices are independent,
The answer is .
Why this works
Only the sign of each number matters, so the continuous problem collapses to a two-outcome experiment with probabilities given by lengths. The same-sign event splits into two disjoint pieces, each a product of independent probabilities.
Alternative approach
Complement: the product is negative when signs differ, with probability , so the answer is . In the square of outcomes, the two same-sign regions have areas and out of .
The trap
Assuming positive and negative are equally likely (answer 1/2) instead of using the interval lengths 20 and 10.
Common mistakes
- Assuming positive and negative are equally likely (answer ) instead of using the interval lengths and .
- Counting only the both-negative case, giving .
Techniques
Set up the equation/formula and compute; no special trick needed