Two cubical dice each have removable numbers through . The twelve numbers on the two dice are removed, put into a bag, then drawn one at a time and randomly reattached to the faces of the cubes, one number to each face. The dice are then rolled and the numbers on the two top faces are added. What is the probability that the sum is ?
- A)
- B)
- C)
- D)
- E)
Answer
D
Key insight
By symmetry the two top numbers are a uniformly random pair of distinct labels from the bag; given the first, exactly 2 of the remaining 11 labels complete a 7.
Solution
The labels are attached to the twelve faces uniformly at random, and the roll then picks one face of each die. By symmetry, the label on the first die's top face is equally likely to be any of the labels in the bag, and the label on the second die's top face is equally likely to be any of the remaining . So the pair of top labels is a uniformly random ordered pair of two distinct labels from the multiset .
Condition on the first label, . The sum is exactly when the second label is . Because is odd, , so removing leaves both copies of in play: favorable labels out of .
This is the same for every , so the probability is .
The answer is .
Why this works
Randomly assigning labels and then randomly choosing a face is the same as randomly choosing labels directly; the cubes' geometry is irrelevant. Once the problem is "draw two labels without replacement from a bag of twelve," it is a one-line conditional count. Look for this kind of symmetry whenever a random relabeling is followed by a random selection.
Alternative approach
Count unordered pairs of labels: equally likely pairs of faces (one on each die is forced by the roll, but by symmetry any two labels are equally likely to be the pair). Pairs summing to : the value pairs , each realized by label pairs, for total. Probability .
The trap
Assuming each die still shows 1 through 6 and answering the usual 1/6, or forgetting the first label is gone and answering 2/12.
Common mistakes
- Assuming each die still shows 1 through 6 and answering the usual 1/6, or forgetting the first label is gone and answering 2/12.
- Trying to enumerate face assignments ( of them); the symmetry argument makes that entirely unnecessary.
Techniques
Exploit symmetry to reduce work or pair up objects