Coin is flipped three times and coin is flipped four times. What is the probability that the number of heads obtained from flipping the two fair coins is the same?
- A)
- B)
- C)
- D)
- E)
Answer
D
Key insight
Match the head counts 0, 1, 2, 3: the favorable outcomes number C(3,k)C(4,k) for each k, totaling 35 out of 2^7 = 128.
Solution
All combined flip sequences are equally likely, so count the sequences in which both coins show the same number of heads . Coin shows heads in ways and coin in ways, and the choices are independent.
| product | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
The favorable count is , so the probability is .
The answer is .
Why this works
"Two independent quantities are equal" is handled by conditioning on the common value: for each possible , multiply the two ways of achieving it, then add over . Because every flip sequence has the same probability, counting sequences and dividing by avoids fractions until the very end.
Alternative approach
Note , so the favorable count is , which by the Vandermonde identity is the number of ways to choose objects from : . Equivalently, "'s heads equal 's tails" among flips means exactly of the flips are heads-for--or-tails-for-.
The trap
Forgetting that the two coins' outcomes multiply, and adding the individual probabilities instead.
Common mistakes
- Forgetting that the two coins' outcomes multiply, and adding the individual probabilities instead.
- Dividing by or by instead of .
Techniques
Split into exhaustive cases and handle each